Grinded last night
by Mark 'poker_in_pb' Vargas, Thu. 1 Oct 2009
I usually either listen to music or watch movies that I've seen alot (so they don't distract me), but last night I flipped to a poker event - Festa Al Lago. I already knew Elky had won it, but I wanted to see how he would run over the final table. My personal play was seriously suffering, so I decided to cut back from 20 tables to 12. Elky was a machine. When he used to play SNGs with us back in the day, he was way too aggressive and it was so easy to capitalize on his mistakes. That's probably why he lost so much money on PokerStars. Since then, he's obviously become one of the sickest live MTT players on the planet. Anyways, he open-raised every single hand at the final table (that they showed at least). I'm not exaggerating either, I mean literally every single hand. I guess it's no secret that when you feel you are the best player at the table, you need to get involved in as many hands as possible so that you can outplay your opponents. With Elky's skill level, he can easily recover his initial -EV preflop position and turn it into +EV by outplaying postflop. I guess there's really no news there, but it just kinda made it more obvious than normal by watching that final table. I put in about 300 SNGs last night and finished up a bit. Since I'm quickly making 6-mans my main game, I'm gonna do some more research on the card removal effect and see how important it is in these. I have a fair idea in the 9-mans already, but I like to know the exact numbers. For those that don't know what the card removal effect is, the easiest example is when everyone folds to the SB and he is deciding whether or not to push. We can most likely assume that no one folded an Ace, so the chances of the BB waking up with one has increased. Therefore, normal ICM push/fold ranges must be adjusted. Also, I'd like to try and make a new ICM model that takes into account position and size of the blinds and antes. We all know that if someone has less than 1.5xBB they are on life support. Even if we have fewer chips, as long as the blinds hit them first we have more equity. current ICM models don't account for this, so I'd like to see if it's possible to make that happen. I think I'll write a quick program to go through my HH database and show the actual results and then compare those with current ICM results and see how distorted they are. If I ever find a new ICM model, I'll have a good baseline to compare it to. I think I'm going to the wavehouse for the noon session, but after that I'll probably be on the tables again. May your cards be kind, -PinPB
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